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The dangers of having only one pandemic exit strategy..
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Journal Of Infection And Public Health, v. 17, n. 6, p. 1007-1012, 2024.
SU, Zhaohui; BENTLEY, Barry; MCDONNELL, Dean; CHESHMEHZANGI, Ali; AHMAD, Junaid; SEGALO, Sabina; VEIGA, Claudimar Pereira da; XIANG, Yu-Tao.
Artigo
Su, Zhaohui Internacional Southeast University, China
SU, Zhaohui; BENTLEY, Barry; MCDONNELL, Dean; CHESHMEHZANGI, Ali; AHMAD, Junaid; SEGALO, Sabina; VEIGA, Claudimar Pereira da; XIANG, Yu-Tao.
Background: When it comes to pandemic response, preparation can be the key. Between 2020 and 2024, the
fast-paced development of COVID-19—often compounded by pubic policies’ failures to reflect the latest
reality and the public’s divergent reactions to the pandemic and the policies—means that society should
prepare for exit strategies that can reflect the reality of the pandemic and the interests of the people. Yet
oftentimes societies only have one exit strategy with limited scope. This paper investigates the dangers of
having only one pandemic exit strategy for pandemics like COVID-19.
Methods: Analyses were based on a review of the literature on COVID-19 exit strategies and our own research.
The PubMed literature search focused on two concepts—“COVID-19? and “exit strategy”—and was
limited to peer-reviewed papers published between 2020 and 2024 in English.
Results: A total of 31 articles were included in the final review. Analyses showed that existing studies on
COVID-19 exit strategies often focused on using the modelling method to gauge one exit strategy. Exit
strategies were often discussed in the context of implementing, easing, or lifting specific pharmaceutical or
non-pharmaceutical interventions. Staged and country-wide coordinated exit strategies were also discussed
in the literature, both of which were often deemed as comparatively rigorous options compared to single or
stand-alone exit strategies. Drawing on the overall development of COVID-19 and our own research, we
presented and discussed the importance of having multiple exit strategies that are considerate of all possible
pandemic trajectories, diverse interests of the public, and the communication challenges officials
might face in introducing or implementing pandemic policies.
Conclusion: This paper underscored the importance of having multiple exit strategies for societies to prepare
for pandemics. The insights of this study can help inform health policies so that they can more
comprehensively and compassionately protect the needs and wants of the “public” in public health, particularly
in grave times like COVID-19.
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